Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Thomas 54.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 69.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Horvat
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Horvat
Thomas
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Thomas
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
5
Horvat
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
55.3% (990)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
54.2% (190)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
52.5% (158)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thomas
Home
59.2% (684)
55.1% (690)
Away
57.0% (635)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Horvat
Thomas
P1
57.9%
55.5%
P2
55.4%
56.4%
P3
61.5%
51.5%
OT
53.8%
69.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |