Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Thomas 52.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 51.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Horvat
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Thomas
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Horvat
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
53.6% (924)
+1.1%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
55.2% (181)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
44.0% (116)
+8.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thomas
Home
59.8% (853)
53.6% (606)
Away
53.8% (832)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Horvat
Thomas
P1
55.0%
48.2%
P2
58.3%
55.3%
P3
57.8%
55.2%
OT
44.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |