Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.1%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Thomas 52.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 59.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Horvat
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Horvat
Thomas
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Thomas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Horvat
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
53.2% (1,166)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
56.9% (262)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
48.4% (221)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thomas
Home
54.2% (714)
51.6% (830)
Away
53.6% (705)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Horvat
Thomas
P1
53.5%
52.7%
P2
56.3%
55.6%
P3
53.5%
50.6%
OT
28.6%
61.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |