Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Johansen 52.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 71.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 71.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 70.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Horvat
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Horvat
Johansen
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Horvat
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Horvat
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
49.4% (1,010)
+6.2%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
62.3% (236)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
67.2% (67)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johansen
Home
58.8% (724)
54.7% (655)
Away
55.3% (751)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Horvat
Johansen
P1
57.0%
52.2%
P2
57.5%
50.7%
P3
57.0%
54.8%
OT
36.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |