Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Johansen 58.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 63.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 55.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Horvat
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Horvat
Johansen
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Horvat
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
59.8% (625)
-5.1%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
58.2% (196)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
51.9% (27)
+0.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johansen
Home
59.8% (853)
60.3% (436)
Away
53.8% (832)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Horvat
Johansen
P1
55.0%
61.3%
P2
58.3%
60.4%
P3
57.8%
56.0%
OT
44.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | OT | 03:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |