Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.1%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Johansen 52.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 63.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Horvat
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Horvat
Johansen
Last 8: Horvat 5-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Horvat
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Horvat
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
51.9% (597)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
57.9% (133)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
54.3% (81)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johansen
Home
54.2% (714)
55.8% (387)
Away
53.6% (705)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Horvat
Johansen
P1
53.5%
50.0%
P2
56.3%
56.2%
P3
53.5%
52.6%
OT
28.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |