Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 88.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 72.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Horvat
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Horvat
Lafferty
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Lafferty
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Lafferty
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
52.2% (366)
+2.5%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
60.0% (15)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
46.2% (104)
+5.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Horvat
Lafferty
Home
59.8% (853)
53.1% (258)
Away
53.8% (832)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Horvat
Lafferty
P1
55.0%
52.5%
P2
58.3%
49.7%
P3
57.8%
51.3%
OT
44.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |