Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 85.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 55.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 80.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Horvat
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Horvat
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
42.6% (324)
+10.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
31.3% (16)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
43.8% (16)
+7.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Horvat
Lafferty
Home
54.2% (714)
40.9% (181)
Away
53.6% (705)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Horvat
Lafferty
P1
53.5%
42.2%
P2
56.3%
36.4%
P3
53.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |