Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 97.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 75.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 87.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Horvat
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Horvat
Lafferty
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
2
Horvat
Lafferty
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Lafferty
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
48.0% (1,413)
+5.9%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
45.7% (46)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
43.5% (184)
+3.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Horvat
Lafferty
Home
56.0% (8,355)
47.3% (833)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Horvat
Lafferty
P1
54.1%
49.4%
P2
54.4%
43.1%
P3
55.0%
49.8%
OT
49.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |