Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Aho 51.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 61.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Horvat
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Horvat
Aho
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Horvat
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
48.5% (778)
+6.2%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
63.4% (191)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
50.8% (65)
+1.3%
On even strength, Horvat has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Horvat
Aho
Home
59.8% (853)
51.3% (530)
Away
53.8% (832)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Horvat
Aho
P1
55.0%
50.0%
P2
58.3%
51.3%
P3
57.8%
52.1%
OT
44.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |