Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Aho 54.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 75.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Horvat
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Horvat
Aho
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
54.5% (870)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
62.4% (266)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
37.1% (62)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Horvat
Aho
Home
59.2% (684)
53.9% (603)
Away
57.0% (635)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Horvat
Aho
P1
57.9%
54.1%
P2
55.4%
55.0%
P3
61.5%
57.4%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |