Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.1%). Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Aho 53.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 53.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 52.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Horvat
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Horvat
Aho
Last 9: Horvat 3-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Horvat
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Horvat
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
51.2% (785)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
63.8% (213)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
57.9% (57)
-6.6%
On power play, Aho has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Horvat
Aho
Home
54.2% (714)
54.9% (548)
Away
53.6% (705)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Horvat
Aho
P1
53.5%
52.8%
P2
56.3%
58.9%
P3
53.5%
50.6%
OT
28.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |