Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.9%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 52.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 69.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Horvat
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Horvat
Jarvis
Last 7: Horvat 4-3 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Jarvis
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
2
Horvat
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
46.2% (171)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
51.9% (54)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
39.4% (127)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarvis
Home
54.2% (714)
46.1% (204)
Away
53.6% (705)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Horvat
Jarvis
P1
53.5%
42.5%
P2
56.3%
42.9%
P3
53.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |