Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 89.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 87.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Horvat
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Horvat
Jarvis
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
2
Horvat
Jarvis
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Jarvis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
42.0% (352)
+11.9%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
43.7% (119)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
38.2% (157)
+8.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarvis
Home
56.0% (8,355)
43.8% (336)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Horvat
Jarvis
P1
54.1%
39.7%
P2
54.4%
39.5%
P3
55.0%
46.1%
OT
49.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |