Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +24.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+24.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 91.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 78.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Horvat
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Horvat
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Jarvis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
32.1% (81)
+26.5%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
38.6% (57)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
28.6% (14)
+17.1%
On even strength, Horvat has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarvis
Home
59.2% (684)
40.6% (69)
Away
57.0% (635)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Horvat
Jarvis
P1
57.9%
30.9%
P2
55.4%
30.6%
P3
61.5%
47.1%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |