Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Crosby 52.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 56.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Horvat
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Horvat
Crosby
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
5
Horvat
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
5
Horvat
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
50.8% (1,169)
+4.8%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
60.2% (261)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
45.0% (20)
+4.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Horvat
Crosby
Home
58.8% (724)
53.2% (726)
Away
55.3% (751)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Horvat
Crosby
P1
57.0%
51.3%
P2
57.5%
52.1%
P3
57.0%
54.1%
OT
36.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |