Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 55.9%). Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Crosby 55.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 58.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Horvat
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Horvat
Crosby
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
8
Horvat
Crosby
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
53.7% (984)
+1.6%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
64.7% (241)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
64.3% (14)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Horvat
Crosby
Home
58.2% (469)
56.9% (649)
Away
54.0% (544)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Horvat
Crosby
P1
59.6%
55.8%
P2
53.1%
53.2%
P3
55.5%
58.7%
OT
55.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |