Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 73 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 119-98 in 217 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Horvat
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
98
-
119
(217 meetings)
98
119
Horvat
Crosby
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
23
50
Horvat
Crosby
73 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
41
22
Horvat
Crosby
63 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
34
47
Horvat
Crosby
81 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.1%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
57.4% (4,733)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
47.1% (765)
+0.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Horvat
Crosby
Home
56.0% (8,355)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Horvat
Crosby
P1
54.1%
53.6%
P2
54.4%
53.9%
P3
55.0%
53.3%
OT
49.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |