Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +34.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Toffoli 45.8% (+34.5%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 56.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 66.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Horvat
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (493)
23.5% (17)
+32.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (83)
0.0% (1)
+44.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Horvat is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Horvat shoots left. Toffoli is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toffoli
Home
58.8% (391)
25.0% (8)
Away
54.4% (353)
20.0% (10)
By Period
Horvat
Toffoli
P1
61.2%
75.0%
P2
53.1%
16.7%
P3
55.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.7%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
43.0%
22.2%