Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +32.2% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+32.2%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 56.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.0%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 52.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Horvat
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
25.0% (20)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
0.0% (1)
+46.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Toffoli is 26.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toffoli
Home
58.2% (469)
20.0% (10)
Away
54.0% (544)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Horvat
Toffoli
P1
59.6%
80.0%
P2
53.1%
14.3%
P3
55.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%