Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Toffoli 45.0% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 63.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 82.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 67.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Horvat
Toffoli
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Horvat
Toffoli
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Toffoli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
39.0% (59)
+14.5%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
36.4% (11)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
0.0% (1)
+51.3%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Toffoli is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toffoli
Home
54.2% (714)
35.1% (37)
Away
53.6% (705)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Horvat
Toffoli
P1
53.5%
46.4%
P2
56.3%
26.9%
P3
53.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
26.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
43.0%
38.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |