Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Toffoli 50.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 60.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.5%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 50.2%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Horvat
Toffoli
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Horvat
Toffoli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Toffoli
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
62.5% (24)
-6.9%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
33.3% (6)
+32.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
25.0% (4)
+24.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Toffoli is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toffoli
Home
58.8% (724)
52.9% (17)
Away
55.3% (751)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Horvat
Toffoli
P1
57.0%
58.3%
P2
57.5%
50.0%
P3
57.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Tyler Toffoli |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |