Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Karlsson 48.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 85.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 73.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Horvat
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Horvat
Karlsson
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
48.9% (662)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
46.7% (107)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
41.2% (68)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Horvat
Karlsson
Home
53.0% (673)
46.1% (401)
Away
54.5% (651)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Horvat
Karlsson
P1
51.9%
46.6%
P2
54.8%
49.5%
P3
54.3%
48.4%
OT
58.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |