Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 62.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 52.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Horvat
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Horvat
Karlsson
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Horvat
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Horvat
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.4% (735)
+4.2%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
63.5% (115)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
42.9% (133)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Horvat
Karlsson
Home
58.8% (724)
52.3% (524)
Away
55.3% (751)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Horvat
Karlsson
P1
57.0%
50.7%
P2
57.5%
51.4%
P3
57.0%
53.2%
OT
36.4%
41.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |