Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.2% vs 58.1%). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Karlsson 57.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 50.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 58.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Horvat
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Horvat
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Horvat
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
58.6% (597)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
57.9% (57)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
51.9% (52)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Horvat
Karlsson
Home
59.2% (684)
59.6% (344)
Away
57.0% (635)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Horvat
Karlsson
P1
57.9%
53.1%
P2
55.4%
62.1%
P3
61.5%
60.1%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |