Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 56.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 55.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Horvat
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Horvat
Karlsson
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Horvat
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Horvat
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
55.3% (897)
-0.6%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
61.1% (113)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
50.8% (132)
+1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Horvat
Karlsson
Home
59.8% (853)
58.6% (560)
Away
53.8% (832)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Horvat
Karlsson
P1
55.0%
55.8%
P2
58.3%
55.6%
P3
57.8%
55.7%
OT
44.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |