Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Karlsson 51.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 77.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 71.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Horvat
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Horvat
Karlsson
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Horvat
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
52.9% (719)
+3.4%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
53.5% (101)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
45.2% (126)
+4.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Karlsson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Horvat
Karlsson
Home
57.3% (742)
54.1% (547)
Away
57.4% (741)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Horvat
Karlsson
P1
59.0%
49.5%
P2
59.7%
53.2%
P3
53.6%
52.3%
OT
55.6%
61.9%
Final 5 min
59.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |