Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Grant 48.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 68.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 81.6%
Neutral zone
Grant 71.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
Jenner
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Jenner
Grant
Last 5: Jenner 0-5 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
5
Jenner
Grant
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
49.1% (222)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
76.5% (17)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
45.3% (181)
+5.0%
On power play, Grant has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Jenner
Grant
Home
53.2% (609)
49.8% (223)
Away
54.0% (589)
47.2% (197)
By Period
Jenner
Grant
P1
49.7%
43.9%
P2
53.6%
49.7%
P3
56.5%
51.4%
OT
65.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Derek Grant |