Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Grant 52.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 57.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 78.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 63.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Jenner
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Jenner
Grant
Last 10: Jenner 2-8 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Grant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
8
Jenner
Grant
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
53.7% (2,864)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
61.7% (175)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
46.0% (922)
+2.4%
On power play, Grant has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Home / Away
Jenner
Grant
Home
54.5% (4,051)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Jenner
Grant
P1
53.7%
51.1%
P2
53.5%
51.5%
P3
54.4%
54.3%
OT
54.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |