Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 55.2%). Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Grant 54.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 74.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 67.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 57.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Jenner
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jenner
Grant
Last 6: Jenner 2-4 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
3
Jenner
Grant
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Jenner
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
56.5% (308)
-2.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
65.3% (49)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
48.5% (136)
+1.2%
On power play, Grant has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Jenner
Grant
Home
56.7% (693)
60.3% (257)
Away
52.7% (693)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Jenner
Grant
P1
57.1%
54.7%
P2
54.1%
54.0%
P3
53.0%
57.1%
OT
61.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |