Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Ryan 55.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 64.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 61.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 60.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Jenner
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Jenner
Ryan
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Ryan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
11
Jenner
Ryan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
3
Jenner
Ryan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
56.6% (4,102)
-2.1%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
53.2% (342)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
47.8% (649)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Jenner
Ryan
Home
54.5% (4,051)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Jenner
Ryan
P1
53.7%
55.1%
P2
53.5%
54.7%
P3
54.4%
56.0%
OT
54.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |