Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Ryan 54.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 74.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 54.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 58.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Jenner
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Jenner
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Jenner
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Jenner
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
60.2% (387)
-6.1%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
28.6% (7)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
43.2% (118)
+7.1%
On power play, Jenner has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jenner is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Jenner shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Jenner
Ryan
Home
53.2% (609)
56.7% (254)
Away
54.0% (589)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Jenner
Ryan
P1
49.7%
56.9%
P2
53.6%
51.7%
P3
56.5%
59.2%
OT
65.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |