Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Ryan 50.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 83.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 64.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Jenner
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Jenner
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Jenner
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Jenner
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
50.9% (344)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
75.0% (4)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
45.3% (86)
+4.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Jenner
Ryan
Home
56.7% (693)
53.7% (214)
Away
52.7% (693)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Jenner
Ryan
P1
57.1%
45.0%
P2
54.1%
50.0%
P3
53.0%
54.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |