Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Ryan 54.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 81.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 74.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Jenner
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jenner
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
60.8% (263)
-6.3%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
100.0% (1)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
46.2% (145)
+0.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Jenner
Ryan
Home
52.9% (512)
56.7% (201)
Away
55.4% (601)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Jenner
Ryan
P1
55.0%
56.7%
P2
54.5%
56.8%
P3
53.6%
53.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |