Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Ryan 57.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 64.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 67.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 64.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Jenner
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Jenner
Ryan
Last 6: Jenner 1-5 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Jenner
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Jenner
Ryan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
59.1% (594)
-4.8%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
49.1% (55)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
57.9% (107)
-7.5%
On power play, Jenner has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jenner is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Jenner shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Jenner
Ryan
Home
54.1% (575)
57.0% (398)
Away
54.1% (582)
59.5% (358)
By Period
Jenner
Ryan
P1
54.1%
56.2%
P2
53.1%
56.9%
P3
54.9%
61.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |