Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Hughes 38.0% (+19.0%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 56.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 80.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 77.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Jenner
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Jenner
Hughes
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
3
Jenner
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
34.5% (342)
+19.6%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
42.9% (7)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
25.0% (4)
+25.3%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hughes
Home
53.2% (609)
32.6% (187)
Away
54.0% (589)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Jenner
Hughes
P1
49.7%
33.9%
P2
53.6%
34.2%
P3
56.5%
36.5%
OT
65.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |