Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Hughes 36.6% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 86.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 99.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 97.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Jenner
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
8
(28 meetings)
20
8
Jenner
Hughes
Last 10: Jenner 8-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
6
Jenner
Hughes
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
7
0
Jenner
Hughes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
10
2
Jenner
Hughes
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
36.0% (2,887)
+18.5%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
38.8% (224)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
31.0% (42)
+17.4%
On even strength, Jenner has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hughes
Home
54.5% (4,051)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Jenner
Hughes
P1
53.7%
36.9%
P2
53.5%
33.6%
P3
54.4%
38.1%
OT
54.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |