Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Hughes 40.3% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 61.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 94.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 89.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Jenner
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jenner
Hughes
Last 7: Jenner 5-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Jenner
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
35.6% (281)
+18.9%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
50.0% (36)
+9.1%
On even strength, Jenner has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hughes
Home
52.9% (512)
38.4% (198)
Away
55.4% (601)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Jenner
Hughes
P1
55.0%
44.3%
P2
54.5%
34.2%
P3
53.6%
34.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |