Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 18 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Evans 52.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 24-13 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 87.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 63.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 60.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Jenner
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
13
(37 meetings)
24
13
Jenner
Evans
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
17
1
Jenner
Evans
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
8
Jenner
Evans
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
4
Jenner
Evans
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
53.8% (3,695)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
60.0% (70)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
47.1% (1,222)
+1.3%
On power play, Evans has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Jenner
Evans
Home
54.5% (4,051)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Jenner
Evans
P1
53.7%
54.0%
P2
53.5%
50.9%
P3
54.4%
52.0%
OT
54.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |