Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Evans 51.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 85.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 56.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 61.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Jenner
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Jenner
Evans
Last 8: Jenner 6-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
0
Jenner
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Jenner
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
54.5% (483)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
58.3% (12)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
43.9% (155)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Jenner
Evans
Home
56.7% (693)
49.4% (336)
Away
52.7% (693)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Jenner
Evans
P1
57.1%
55.8%
P2
54.1%
51.7%
P3
53.0%
48.2%
OT
61.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |