Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Evans 52.0% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 89.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 66.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 58.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Jenner
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Jenner
Evans
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
0
Jenner
Evans
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jenner
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Jenner
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
54.4% (807)
+0.1%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
55.0% (20)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
46.1% (310)
+0.3%
On power play, Jenner has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Jenner
Evans
Home
52.9% (512)
53.7% (581)
Away
55.4% (601)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Jenner
Evans
P1
55.0%
54.6%
P2
54.5%
50.0%
P3
53.6%
52.3%
OT
52.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |