Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Evans 55.4% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 82.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Jenner
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
56.2% (477)
-6.4%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
70.0% (10)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
55.4% (204)
-2.5%
On power play, Evans has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Jenner
Evans
Home
51.0% (143)
55.3% (374)
Away
49.2% (124)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Jenner
Evans
P1
51.7%
58.5%
P2
40.5%
55.7%
P3
57.3%
53.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%