Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Carter 56.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 55.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 76.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Jenner
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Jenner
Carter
Last 9: Jenner 6-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
1
Jenner
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Jenner
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
57.9% (885)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
61.7% (133)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
45.4% (119)
+4.9%
On power play, Carter has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jenner is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Jenner shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carter
Home
53.2% (609)
58.2% (543)
Away
54.0% (589)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Jenner
Carter
P1
49.7%
57.5%
P2
53.6%
57.1%
P3
56.5%
55.8%
OT
65.2%
68.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |