Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 56.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 89.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Jenner
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Jenner
Carter
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
0
Jenner
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Jenner
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
59.7% (727)
-5.5%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
68.1% (72)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
53.2% (139)
-3.5%
On power play, Carter has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carter
Home
56.7% (693)
58.7% (455)
Away
52.7% (693)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Jenner
Carter
P1
57.1%
61.3%
P2
54.1%
57.1%
P3
53.0%
59.8%
OT
61.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |