Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Carter 60.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 76.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 63.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Jenner
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jenner
Carter
Last 6: Jenner 3-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Jenner
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Jenner
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
65.6% (262)
-11.1%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
68.3% (63)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
50.5% (99)
-4.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jenner is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Jenner shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carter
Home
52.9% (512)
64.3% (207)
Away
55.4% (601)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Jenner
Carter
P1
55.0%
65.3%
P2
54.5%
60.1%
P3
53.6%
63.8%
OT
52.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |