Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Veleno 49.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 50.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 54.3%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Jenner
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jenner
Veleno
Last 8: Jenner 4-4 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
3
Jenner
Veleno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
48.4% (531)
+6.1%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
56.3% (64)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
44.4% (27)
+2.0%
On even strength, Jenner has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Jenner
Veleno
Home
52.9% (512)
48.8% (289)
Away
55.4% (601)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Jenner
Veleno
P1
55.0%
46.1%
P2
54.5%
50.9%
P3
53.6%
49.7%
OT
52.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |