Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Veleno 47.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 68.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 63.4%
Neutral zone
Veleno 57.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Jenner
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jenner
Veleno
Last 6: Jenner 3-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Veleno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Jenner
Veleno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
47.1% (420)
+3.2%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
100.0% (1)
-48.0%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
25.0% (8)
+33.8%
On power play, Veleno has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Jenner shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Jenner
Veleno
Home
45.7% (81)
47.8% (201)
Away
54.8% (124)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Jenner
Veleno
P1
46.6%
48.8%
P2
58.3%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
44.2%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |