Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Veleno 47.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 51.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 50.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 50.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Jenner
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Jenner
Veleno
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Veleno
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
5
Jenner
Veleno
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Veleno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
47.4% (2,311)
+7.1%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
51.0% (98)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
36.4% (88)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Home / Away
Jenner
Veleno
Home
54.5% (4,051)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
48.6% (1,361)
By Period
Jenner
Veleno
P1
53.7%
48.0%
P2
53.5%
47.7%
P3
54.4%
45.9%
OT
54.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |