Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.4%). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 50.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 57.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 56.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Jenner
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jenner
Draisaitl
Last 5: Jenner 2-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Jenner
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
52.6% (1,124)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
58.4% (344)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
49.2% (193)
+1.1%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Jenner
Draisaitl
Home
53.2% (609)
55.5% (816)
Away
54.0% (589)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Jenner
Draisaitl
P1
49.7%
51.1%
P2
53.6%
51.6%
P3
56.5%
56.9%
OT
65.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |