Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.3%). Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 27 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 28-26 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 69.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 62.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 54.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Jenner
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
26
(54 meetings)
28
26
Jenner
Draisaitl
Last 10: Jenner 2-8 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
16
Jenner
Draisaitl
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
20
7
Jenner
Draisaitl
27 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Draisaitl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
52.9% (10,240)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
55.7% (2,827)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
51.2% (977)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Jenner
Draisaitl
Home
54.5% (4,051)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Jenner
Draisaitl
P1
53.7%
52.7%
P2
53.5%
53.6%
P3
54.4%
53.4%
OT
54.5%
57.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |